High Uncertainty Era
- Dr. Constantine Stephanou Licourinos, PDDs, PhDs, MBA, MSc
- Jun 9, 2024
- 8 min read

“The Oct’2016 A.D. -Sep’2027 A.D. Major Crisis:
The Emergence of New Data-Driven Upright, Moral Capitalism(s)
along with the Upstaging of a
Demystifying Neoliberalism by the year 2037 A.D.”
The Prolegomenon of the Book
We live in a totally Unorthodox Cosmos. Because of this, we face an era of high uncertainty and high market volatility, all capped with an extraordinary, extracurricular, and propounding expansion of risk of transactions. The efficiency of Economic Faculties runs all times low. Economic Output is as low as ever. Growth, the central puzzle behind a sane economy, is a skirmish. Demand runs sluggishly low. So does the income of the people around the Globe. Sluggish Income Equality that is, Income Inequality, starting to appear the way we now know it back in the 1990s, becomes the status quo in a miserable series of developments of a newly mismastered NeoEconomism.
The Education Divide powered by a potentially contentious Information Divide torments societies around the Earth. Trump’s Trade Wars, propelled by sheer ignorance of key facts of the Global Economy, create a Weak Global Economy vis-a-vis the propounded Global Trade(s).
Jobs are evolving in an era of the uprightness of Artificial Intelligence (AI). The average quality of jobs is lower than in the ‘80s and ‘90s. Skills fail. The necessitated skillfulness of the people working in various slots of the Global Economy is equally well more melancholy than the expected average as talent overall, a Biologism(s)-linked feature, runs at the tantrums.
We are faced with a significant Crisis, more fundamental and problematic in all its aspects than the Crises of the ‘1929s and the ‘2008s. It is an Organizational Crisis. It is a Crisis of Connectivities, or the way things meddle, are pulled together, and communicate the messages of the Global Economic Edifice into its propagators, that is, we, the people.
In the US, the financing of the Highway Bill (at $308 billion in 2015 during the Obama Administration) exploded during the Trump Administration to $1.1 trillion. Yet, it is running truly wild at $1.79 trillion if you consider that crucial infrastructure of airports and bridges, partially included in its first versions, i.e., Obama, is part of the whole depiction.
Nowadays, people can only forecast where the USD is heading and how the Euro and the Pound will evolve. This last feature has a total toll on the nature and expanse of Infrastructure on Payments. Small Businesses operate on the Margin despite some favorable Tax adjustments, especially in the United States of America. Diverging and divesting ECB and FED policies boost the dollar to overflowing, overborrowing extremes, something that can strictly create problems and avert stabilization to the system, especially given the interactions at hand with China and the problem of external Debt of the US, kept by China.
Quantitative Easing, performed stupidly and shallowly, entails Qualitative Easing of Funds that negates the actual economic output from easing the economy; that is a vicious cycle of malperformance of economic enactors that runs uncontrolled.
The demographic impact is crucial. We are getting lesser capacity for quality operations; in other words, fewer people involved produce more inferior viable results for the Global Economic Edifice. Enter the Brexit epidemic and the total incapacity of the United Kingdom to master its way through in a rational and prevalent manner in all of its dimensions.
Enter Putin Economics vs. Neoeconomism vs. China Economics. This is synonymous with a total tragedy, especially given the crucial fact of how much is the true potential of NeoEconomisms and how divisive is the way Putin and China penetrate the cloth of Economic Globality. Further, weak links of southern European economies, a Crisis of values (sathrotic/satrapic economies), and an Annihilation, Obliteration, and Extinction of past feats assume the role of dissynchronicities in a Cosmos where the synchronization of the “things of the economies” is necessitated.
Globality also necessitates the Formalization of Global Policies (the format known as the Down Index). Before the US elections, the Index was 207.83 units at the beginning of 2016. The Trump paradox amplified the downsizing and elimination of critical equilibria, marking the index at 119.72 units in October 2019.
Globality necessitates the existence and appropriation of a nominal minimum level of sufficient Inflation that entails and culminates the levelage and leverage of interest rates. Further, interest rates “make” inflation. This is not the case nowadays, as, in most cases, the negative interest rates impede “sane inflation.”
Enter the Global Epidemics, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, like DR Congo. Human lives are lost just as if preserving them has no merit. Yet, the worst epidemic is a major headache for all of us: irrational, baby-like, and, in some cases, schizoid, paranoid, paranoetic behaviors from global leaders.
I am a vested psychiatrist, and I can assure you that President POTUS Trump, Boris Johnson of the UK, and President of Turkey Erdogan, all suffer from severe mental problems and a totally abusive, divisive, and immorally Wrong Mentality, combined with egotistic approaches that shutter everything. It is no man’s secret that Psychopaths and Politicians have a Common Ground.
And that is not all of it: Political and Economic Psychiatry describes how all currencies are problematic in reinvestment, thus divesting overall. Take, for example, the Economic falsifiers on Yuan/Renminbi. Take, for example, the lack of perilously low economic aristocracies that cannot withstand the divisive messaging of the Leaders of the World. Thank God we got away from the Greek Epidemic/Tsipras epidemic, and the new government of Greece shows exceptional skills in handling the realities of an investment economy. Yet, this is only a shimmering exception to the rule.
No one is ready for a major crisis that will flatten everything, as there is no positive and affecting conclusion as to the health of global economics, while Global Biological and Biophysical Intelligence, talent, and economic discipline are at all-time lows.
As stated in the past, I always refer to it at every opportunity and whenever it is feasible to say that we are missing a Theory of Reality.
What is Reality? It is the formal Grand R Set of all overconnectivities and connectivities within a predefined space. You move one single centimeter towards a new direction, then reality changes by 7.89 x 10 to the power 12 (or 7.89 x 10 ^ 12). (Note that the single most Reality of the whole planet relates to 95.21 x 10 ^ 679,823,550,935,121,433, a that’s only the planet, not the Planetary System, the Universe, the Multiverse, and so on till the level of the Gaszpah Spaces).
And that’s precisely what makes Trump’s 2016 Triumph America’s Tragedy; that’s what makes possible Trump’s 2024 Triumph, America’s Annihilation in total tragedy. The Planetarch rules as if he can master in one word, “with all of his wisdom,” immense spaces of logical, noetic, and paranoetic inclinations, simply resting to be schizoid, paranoid, paranoetic himself.
His stupid practices become a status quo. And it is not only the geopolitical games that play an immense role. The fact(s) that markets are full of leniencies and traps, full of fixed capital, and a vast $ 570.29 trillion of Global investments, funds, bonds, and Capital(s) that are incredibly slow-moving, if not moving at all. Based on fundamental principles, Actual economic activity is the most prominent and vast requirement when a total shift of work and life values in the Era of AI takes place, with a grander effect in the US economy, which is a pioneer in AI. Further, is the March of the Machines replacing old routines and Old Orders?
The International System is out of Order—the end of order as we knew it. Globalization's future is dire unless something significant happens. The traditionalist patriot and isolationist Trump is a feverish example of how American foreign policy stagnates and the Global Trading system dies in an era of Autocrats.
Follows an arms race, again and again, that once again provides some merit for fearsome America, as yet the tarnished image of a President that no one trusts, a President that does Planetarch Politics similar to a game of golf (The Economist, October 19th, 2019), a President that draws Power(s) from the power of populism, an America in complete decay where democracy dies in darkness, all these constitute a reason for the Leadership of the Planet to be in Question, and the future of Meta-American global Economy a severe cause for one to have objections, if not panic and fear of perishness, when it comes to the question “Who will run the World, who will manage the Cosmos?”, especially when we are dealing with a global paradox of Peace, through global wars.
And as a result of this, some cruel questions arise:
1. Where does US leadership lie in an uncertain World of Politics?
2. What is the New Era for the NATO Alliance?
3. Is there any way to restore the pre-60s American Power?
4. Does Erdogan’s Turkey appear as the Third Pilar in the Middle East?
5. Is the US abandoning the Middle East, and what are the repercussions for Israel?
6. The struggle for Israel: how Netanyahu is transforming the Old Nation?
7. Is there an Answer to the Cyprus Question? (No solution on the nearby horizon!)
8. What happened to the True American Century: a loss of dreams?
9. The Post-American Middle East will be, or can it be, American Controlled or not?
10. What is Tomorrow’s Military: is this a new period in Mankind’s plans?
11. What to expect from Trump’s governance: lies instead of Order in a non-sincere Cosmos?
12. The balance of fear(s) is getting more aggressive, or looser?
13. Ukraine and the World Order: is this a real mess?
14. The Political Future of China: uncertain by far?
15. Can Chinese companies master the markets beyond? Can they become the standard in global business?
16. Climate Change has vast repercussions: how much do we know for real?
17. Is Venezuela on the brink of total collapse?
18. Is there a way of surviving an irrelevant and uncertain Cosmos of slow growth?
19. Is the liberal world the resilient Order we all wish to have?
20. Will the rise of illiberal hegemony in the Trump Presidency get a final exit/end?
21. The fact that there is No end to Tech disruptions means no end to the era of crises.
22. What is the role of the Global Culture factor?
23. What is the Latin-American prototype of populism, and what is the future of the Trump policies?
24. To what extent has The West of Trump’s Edifice provoked Putin?
25. Where does the Search for a Strategy lead?
26. What are the prospects of the Basic Global Economy, and what for an Extensive Global Upright NeoCapitalism?
27. Does US foreign policy have the ability or can hardly recover after Trump?
28. Is China the Hidden Super-Power?
29. Is there an end in the case of enduring global security?
30. Will there be a failure of European Multiculturalism(s)
31. How can we handle the digital-physical-biological 4th Big Data Grand Revolution?
32. The Meaning of Life: there is a purpose in existence if you know where to find it.
33. Open Societies require the presence of Open, Explorative Minds: are there enough Great Minds around the corner?
CHAPTERS:
1. A sad Planet, a melancholic Religion of Pathos and Intimidation, under the spell and rule of castigating practices
2. Robots, Robotoids, Robotoidals, and the Advent of the Machines and the Data Era
3. Nations in Crisis, institutions in tantrums
4. Wall Street: A Cult and Paranoia of Risk-Takers
5. The New Nationalism, the Old Foe
6. Nationalisms: The Biologics in action
7. China Now: The Big Paradox
8. How Putin Broke Europe’s Heart & Vandalizes Ukraine
9. A mystery overall: The End of Rationalists
10. The paradigm of UpRight, Moral Capitalism(s)
11. Neoliberalism(s) and the future of Freedom
12. The plethora of Solutions, the plethora of Problems
13. Dying Germany and the end of rational, common-sense politics
14. History at its best, History at its worst: Revisionists, Autocrats, Paranoidal Castigators of Free Expression
Comments